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Outcome bias information


The outcome bias is an error made in evaluating the quality of a decision when the outcome of that decision is already known. Specifically, the outcome effect occurs when the same "behavior produce[s] more ethical condemnation when it happen[s] to produce bad rather than good outcome, even if the outcome is determined by chance."[1]

While similar to the hindsight bias, the two phenomena are markedly different. Hindsight bias focuses on memory distortion to favor the actor, while the outcome bias focuses exclusively on weighting the outcome heavier than other pieces of information in deciding if a past decision was correct.

  1. ^ Gino, Francesca; Moore, Don A.; Bazerman, Max H. (2009). "No Harm, No Foul: The Outcome Bias in Ethical Judgments" (PDF). SSRN 1099464. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2014-06-30. Retrieved 2013-04-04. Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 08-080.

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Outcome bias

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outcome bias is an error made in evaluating the quality of a decision when the outcome of that decision is already known. Specifically, the outcome effect...

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Positive outcome bias

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Positive outcome bias may refer to: Publication bias, the tendency for researchers to publish research which had a positive outcome. "Positive" in this...

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Hindsight bias

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to predict the outcomes of future events. Examples of hindsight bias can be seen in the writings of historians describing the outcomes of battles, in...

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Optimism bias

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Optimism bias (or the optimistic bias) is a cognitive bias that causes someone to believe that they themselves are less likely to experience a negative...

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Publication bias

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published academic research, publication bias occurs when the outcome of an experiment or research study biases the decision to publish or otherwise distribute...

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List of cognitive biases

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moral standing based on the outcome of an event. Puritanical bias, the tendency to attribute cause of an undesirable outcome or wrongdoing by an individual...

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Algorithmic bias

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Algorithmic bias describes systematic and repeatable errors in a computer system that create "unfair" outcomes, such as "privileging" one category over...

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Confirmation bias

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effect is strongest for desired outcomes, for emotionally charged issues, and for deeply entrenched beliefs. Confirmation bias is insuperable for most people...

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Selection bias

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Protopathic bias, when a treatment for the first symptoms of a disease or other outcome appear to cause the outcome. It is a potential bias when there...

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Funding bias

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Funding bias, also known as sponsorship bias, funding outcome bias, funding publication bias, and funding effect, refers to the tendency of a scientific...

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Systemic bias

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Systemic bias is the inherent tendency of a process to support particular outcomes. The term generally refers to human systems such as institutions. Systemic...

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Recency bias

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Recency bias is a cognitive bias that favors recent events over historic ones; a memory bias. Recency bias gives "greater importance to the most recent...

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Bias

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experimenter expectancies regarding study results bias the research outcome. Examples of experimenter bias include conscious or unconscious influences on...

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Cognitive bias

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on how it is described; or the distinction bias where choices presented together have different outcomes than those presented separately), and others...

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Reporting bias

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selective outcome reporting (mainly suppression) of known or suspected adverse events. Academic bias Confirmation bias Funding bias Information bias (epidemiology)...

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Media bias

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commercial bias, temporal bias, visual bias, bad news bias, narrative bias, status quo bias, fairness bias, expediency bias, class bias and glory bias (or the...

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Participation bias

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affect the outcome. These traits mean the sample is systematically different from the target population, potentially resulting in biased estimates. For...

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Observer bias

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result of his observer bias and the outcomes he was intending to find through his studies. Another key example of observer bias is a 1963 study, "Psychology...

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RaDonda Vaught homicide case

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"disturbing and unjust." It alleged that the decision reflected "significant outcome bias," "inability to differentiate between human error, at-risk behavior,...

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Action bias

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is carried out; only a neutral outcome does not contribute to learning. Another reason for the existence of the bias might be that people develop the...

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Behavioral economics

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shortcuts is the occurrence of a number of biases such as hindsight bias, confirmation bias and outcome bias among others. A key example of fast thinking...

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Group attribution error

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attribution bias analogous to the fundamental attribution error. Rather than focusing on individual's behavior, it relies on group outcomes and attitudes...

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Outcome switching

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for cancer treatment. Outcome switching can lead to bias and undermine the reliability of the trial, for instance when outcomes are switched after researchers...

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Equality of outcome

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Equality of outcome, equality of condition, or equality of results is a political concept which is central to some political ideologies and is used in...

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Political bias

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political bias has a lasting impact with proven effects on voter behaviour and consequent political outcomes. With an understanding of political bias comes...

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Difference in differences

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factors and selection bias, depending on how the treatment group is chosen, this method may still be subject to certain biases (e.g., mean regression...

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