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Forking paths problem information


The garden of forking paths is a problem in frequentist hypothesis testing through which researchers can unintentionally produce false positives for a tested hypothesis, through leaving themselves too many degrees of freedom. In contrast to fishing expeditions such as data dredging where only expected or apparently-significant results are published, this allows for a similar effect even when only one experiment is run, through a series of choices about how to implement methods and analyses, which are themselves informed by the data as it is observed and processed.[1]

  1. ^ "Garden of forking paths". FORRT - Framework for Open and Reproducible Research Training. Retrieved 2023-07-28.

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Forking paths problem

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The garden of forking paths is a problem in frequentist hypothesis testing through which researchers can unintentionally produce false positives for a...

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The Garden of Forking Paths

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"The Garden of Forking Paths" (original Spanish title: "El jardín de senderos que se bifurcan") is a 1941 short story by Argentine writer and poet Jorge...

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Multicollinearity

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until finding one that can "deal with" the collinearity creates a forking paths problem. P-values and confidence intervals derived from post hoc analyses...

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Symbolic execution

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both branches, by "forking" two paths. Each path gets assigned a copy of the program state at the branch instruction as well as a path constraint. In this...

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List of unsolved problems in mathematics

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disjoint unions of paths according to their maximum degree The Lovász conjecture on Hamiltonian paths in symmetric graphs The Oberwolfach problem on which 2-regular...

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Flowchart

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independently: At a fork, the process creates one or more additional processes, indicated by a bar with one incoming path and two or more outgoing paths. At a join...

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Trail

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long-distance trails, and is used for urban paths and sometimes in place of pavement. Track is used for wider paths (wide enough for vehicles), often used...

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Inkscape

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set to edit paths (as they are the basic element of a vector file): Edit Path by Node tool: allows for the editing of single or multiple paths and or their...

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Multiverse analysis

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variability in research outcomes". A problem also known as Researcher degrees of freedom or as the garden of forking paths. It is a method arising in response...

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Nondeterministic algorithm

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represents a single path from an input to an outcome, a nondeterministic algorithm represents a single path stemming into many paths, some of which may...

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Jorge Luis Borges

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realm of hoax or literary forgery. "The Garden of Forking Paths" (1941) presents the idea of forking paths through networks of time, none of which is the...

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Knights and Knaves

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After that, B says "C is a hunter". Then, C says "A is noble". Now the problem is, which is each, and why? Since a hunter always lies, they cannot admit...

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Data dredging

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redirect targets Cherry picking – Fallacy of incomplete evidence Garden of forking paths fallacy – side effect of too many researcher degrees of freedom Circular...

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Problem of future contingents

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distributivity Principle of plenitude Truth-value link In Borges' The Garden of Forking Paths, both alternatives happen, thus leading to what Deleuze calls "incompossible...

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Causal model

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noncausal path between X and Y must be blocked by this set; (2) without disrupting any causal paths; and (3) without creating any spurious paths.: 158  Definition:...

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Border Gateway Protocol

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the Internet. BGP is classified as a path-vector routing protocol, and it makes routing decisions based on paths, network policies, or rule-sets configured...

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VirtualGL

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commodity technologies (HDTV, to name one) already address this problem. VirtualGL uses "GLX forking" to perform OpenGL rendering on the application server. Unix...

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Bicycle suspension

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mechanisms. Different designs of suspension cause the seat to move in different paths during the compression. The most basic suspension seat post, a piston style...

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Multipath TCP

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agents. This allows for the creation of multiple IMS signaling paths. On these signaling paths, signaling messages carry Session Description Protocol (SDP)...

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Open Shortest Path First

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a means to describe the topology over which GMPLS paths can be established. GMPLS uses its own path setup and forwarding protocols, once it has the full...

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Automated guided vehicle

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have a team of programmers to program the AGV with the correct paths and change the paths when necessary. This method is easy to change and set up. The...

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List of American Pickers episodes

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a life-size model train town and over 1,000 classic bicycles. The only problem is they have got a hard time selling and their prices are frozen in time...

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American River

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away with access to the river and parks, picnic areas, biking and jogging paths, trails for hiking, and habitat for fish and wildlife. Chinook Salmon are...

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