Critical transitions are abrupt shifts in the state of ecosystems, the climate, financial systems or other complex dynamical systems that may occur when changing conditions pass a critical or bifurcation point. As such, they are a particular type of regime shift. Recovery from such shifts may require more than a simple return to the conditions at which a transition occurred, a phenomenon called hysteresis.[1][2][3][4] In addition to natural systems, critical transitions are also studied in psychology,[5] medicine,[6][7] economics,[8][9] sociology,[10] military,[11] and several other disciplines.
^Scheffer, Marten; Carpenter, Steve; Foley, Jonathan A.; Folke, Carl; Walker, Brian (October 2001). "Catastrophic shifts in ecosystems". Nature. 413 (6856): 591–596. Bibcode:2001Natur.413..591S. doi:10.1038/35098000. ISSN 1476-4687. PMID 11595939. S2CID 8001853.
^Scheffer, Marten (26 July 2009). Critical transitions in nature and society. Princeton University Press. ISBN 978-0691122045.
^Scheffer, Marten; Bascompte, Jordi; Brock, William A.; Brovkin, Victor; Carpenter, Stephen R.; Dakos, Vasilis; Held, Hermann; van Nes, Egbert H.; Rietkerk, Max; Sugihara, George (September 2009). "Early-warning signals for critical transitions". Nature. 461 (7260): 53–59. Bibcode:2009Natur.461...53S. doi:10.1038/nature08227. ISSN 1476-4687. PMID 19727193. S2CID 4001553.
^Scheffer, Marten; Carpenter, Stephen R.; Lenton, Timothy M.; Bascompte, Jordi; Brock, William; Dakos, Vasilis; Koppel, Johan van de; Leemput, Ingrid A. van de; Levin, Simon A.; Nes, Egbert H. van; Pascual, Mercedes; Vandermeer, John (19 October 2012). "Anticipating Critical Transitions". Science. 338 (6105): 344–348. Bibcode:2012Sci...338..344S. doi:10.1126/science.1225244. hdl:11370/92048055-b183-4f26-9aea-e98caa7473ce. ISSN 0036-8075. PMID 23087241. S2CID 4005516.
^van de Leemput, Ingrid A.; Wichers, Marieke; Cramer, Angélique O. J.; Borsboom, Denny; Tuerlinckx, Francis; Kuppens, Peter; van Nes, Egbert H.; Viechtbauer, Wolfgang; Giltay, Erik J.; Aggen, Steven H.; Derom, Catherine; Jacobs, Nele; Kendler, Kenneth S.; van der Maas, Han L. J.; Neale, Michael C. (2014-01-07). "Critical slowing down as early warning for the onset and termination of depression". Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 111 (1): 87–92. doi:10.1073/pnas.1312114110. ISSN 0027-8424. PMC 3890822. PMID 24324144.
^Trefois, Christophe; Antony, Paul MA; Goncalves, Jorge; Skupin, Alexander; Balling, Rudi (2015-08-01). "Critical transitions in chronic disease: transferring concepts from ecology to systems medicine". Current Opinion in Biotechnology. Systems biology • Nanobiotechnology. 34: 48–55. doi:10.1016/j.copbio.2014.11.020. ISSN 0958-1669.
^de Mooij, Susanne M. M.; Blanken, Tessa F.; Grasman, Raoul P. P. P.; Ramautar, Jennifer R.; Van Someren, Eus J. W.; van der Maas, Han L. J. (2020-09-01). "Dynamics of sleep: Exploring critical transitions and early warning signals". Computer Methods and Programs in Biomedicine. 193: 105448. doi:10.1016/j.cmpb.2020.105448. hdl:11245.1/e60d3e2e-5305-40fe-8ea2-9d2320a04f60. ISSN 0169-2607.
^Smug, D. (2018) Critical Transitions in financial models: Bifurcation- and noise-induced phenomena https://ore.exeter.ac.uk/repository/handle/10871/36063?show=full
^Xing, Kai; Yang, Xiaoguang (2020-01-01). "Predicting default rates by capturing critical transitions in the macroeconomic system". Finance Research Letters. 32: 101107. doi:10.1016/j.frl.2019.02.007. ISSN 1544-6123.
^Mascareño, Aldo (2020-12-01). "Close to the Edge: From Crisis To Critical Transitions in Social Systems Theory". Soziale Systeme. 25 (2): 251–276. doi:10.1515/sosys-2020-0026. ISSN 2366-0473.
^Šlebir, Miha (2022-06-15). "TOWARDS UNDERSTANDING CRITICAL TRANSITIONS IN WARFARE". Obrana a strategie (Defence and Strategy). 22 (1): 055–074. doi:10.3849/1802-7199.22.2022.01.055-074.
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