Allan Jay Lichtman (/ˈlɪktmən/; born April 4, 1947) is an American historian. He has taught at American University in Washington, D.C., since 1973.
Lichtman created the Keys to the White House model with Soviet seismologist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981. The model uses 13 true/false criteria to predict whether the presidential candidate of the incumbent party will win or lose the next election.[1] Using this model, Lichtman has accurately predicted the winner of every U.S. presidential election since 1984, with the exception of 2000,[2] although he did forecast successfully that Al Gore would win the popular vote that year, and 2016, where he predicted Donald Trump would win, despite Trump's popular vote loss.[3] He ran for the U.S. Senate seat from Maryland in 2006, finishing in sixth place in the Democratic primary. In 2017, Lichtman published The Case for Impeachment, laying out multiple arguments for the impeachment of Donald Trump.[4][5][6]
^"The Keys to the White House", Madison Books, 1996, ISBN 1568330618
^Gordon, Allison (2020-08-07). "History professor who has accurately predicted every election since 1984 says Trump will lose". CNN. Retrieved 2023-02-07.
^Stevenson, Peter W. (2021-11-25). "Trump is headed for a win, says professor who has predicted 30 years of presidential outcomes correctly". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved 2024-06-16.
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Allan Jay Lichtman (/ˈlɪktmən/; born April 4, 1947) is an American historian. He has taught at American University in Washington, D.C., since 1973. Lichtman...
elections in the United States. It was developed by American historian AllanLichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting prediction...
with the surname include: Al Lichtman (1885–1958), Hungarian-American businessman in the motion picture industry AllanLichtman (born 1947), American political...
non-fiction book by American University Distinguished Professor of History AllanLichtman arguing for the impeachment of Donald Trump. It was published on April...
prerequisites for becoming a psephologist. Notable psephologists include: AllanLichtman, professor and creator of The Keys to the White House Antony Green,...
Mexico) did Smith receive fewer votes than Davis had in 1924. Historian AllanLichtman notes that since the sole defining issue of the election was anti-Catholicism...
Jaworski A. Robert Kaufman, social activist and perennial candidate AllanLichtman, professor at American University Thomas McCaskill, physicist Kweisi...
challenging primary battle with other Maryland Democrats, including AllanLichtman, Josh Rales, Dennis F. Rasmussen, and his former House colleague Kweisi...
that had characterized the Fourth Party System." However, historian AllanLichtman's quantitative analysis suggests that the 1928 results were based largely...
often decided by underlying factors than by the campaign. In the 1980s, AllanLichtman and Vladimir Keilis-Borok devised the Keys to the White House model...
Green Rajeeva Karandikar Peter Kellner Anthony King Steve Kornacki AllanLichtman Frank Luntz Malcolm Mackerras Robert McKenzie G. Elliott Morris Helmut...
successful model which is still being used is The Keys to the White House by AllanLichtman. Election forecasting in the United States was first brought to the...
White House Chief speechwriter for Vice President Al Gore; novelist AllanLichtman – historian, 2006 candidate for Maryland State Senate, Department of...
Lichtman, was a bookkeeper. Her parents moved Lichtman and her two brothers, Allan and Steven, to the Bronx when she was 14 years old where Lichtman attended...
a former Baltimore County Executive, American University professor AllanLichtman, and wealthy Potomac businessman Josh Rales entered the contest. Thirteen...
of His Rise to the Presidency Center Street 2017 978-1-5460-8330-6 AllanLichtman The Case for Impeachment Dey Street Books 2017 978-0-06-269682-3 Malcolm...
Impeachment process against Richard Nixon The Case for Impeachment by AllanLichtman Timeline of investigations into Trump and Russia (2019–2020) Revesz...
organizing protests against Trump The Case for Impeachment, a 2017 book by AllanLichtman arguing for Trump's impeachment The Plot to Hack America, a 2016 book...
known as the Watergate scandal. American University history professor AllanLichtman stated that Banzhaf "was the first to seriously raise the issue in a...
Faust This Republic of Suffering: Death and the American Civil War AllanLichtman White Protestant Nation: The Rise of the American Conservative Movement...
FDR and the Jews is a 2013 book by Richard Breitman and Allan J. Lichtman examining the complex relationship between Franklin D. Roosevelt and Jews. The...
Johnson; economists Arthur Laffer and Richard D. Wolff; professors AllanLichtman, Graham Allison, Larry Sabato and Larry Diamond; US representative Gil...
Music VF, US & UK hits charts". musicvf.com. Retrieved 2 September 2021. Lichtman, Irv (September 18, 1982). "George Fischoff Keys In On Songwriting Success"...
1960 Television 6739 Hollywood Boulevard (1960-02-08)February 8, 1960 Al Lichtman Motion pictures 6821 Hollywood Boulevard (1960-02-08)February 8, 1960 Judith...
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