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Political forecasting information


Political forecasting aims at forecasting the outcomes of political events. Political events can be a number of events such as diplomatic decisions, actions by political leaders and other areas relating to politicians and political institutions. The area of political forecasting concerning elections is highly popular, especially amongst mass market audiences. Political forecasting methodology makes frequent use of mathematics, statistics and data science. Political forecasting as it pertains to elections is related to psephology.

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Political forecasting

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Political forecasting aims at forecasting the outcomes of political events. Political events can be a number of events such as diplomatic decisions, actions...

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Forecasting

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Land use forecasting Player and team performance in sports Political forecasting Product forecasting Sales forecasting Technology forecasting Telecommunications...

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Psephology

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Electoral geography Opinion poll Political analyst Political data scientists Political forecasting Swing (politics) Lansford, Tom (2011). Kurian, George...

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Weather forecasting

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information to the forecast. While increasing accuracy of forecasting models implies that humans may no longer be needed in the forecasting process at some...

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Jay Ulfelder

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American political scientist who is best known for his work on political forecasting, specifically on anticipating various forms of political instability...

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Bruce Bueno de Mesquita

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Predictioneer's Game. Bueno de Mesquita's forecasting model have greatly contributed to the study of political events using forecasting methods, especially through...

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Fashion forecasting

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technology. Short-term forecasting can also be considered fad forecasting. Two types of fashion forecasting are used: short-term forecasting, which envisions...

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Nick Tyrone

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give their “… gratitude to Nigel Farage for hanging around the British political scene just a little bit longer” as he believed it would ensure “the pro-Europeans...

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Likely

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nomenclature of political forecasting, a "likely" seat is one that is predicted, but not definitively, to probably be won by a particular political party Likely...

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Election

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campaign advertising. It is common for political scientists to attempt to predict elections via political forecasting methods. The most expensive election...

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Electoral Calculus

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Electoral Calculus is a political forecasting web site that attempts to predict future United Kingdom general election results. It considers national...

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Lean

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(Salvelinus namaycush), a fish A slight advantage for one candidate in political forecasting Lean House, a religious lodging in Santa Rosa, Cauca, Colombia Big...

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Opinion poll

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Metallic Metals Act Open access poll Psephology Political analyst Political data scientists Political forecasting Push poll Referendum Roper Center for Public...

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The Economist

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In late-2023, the data team advertised for a political data scientist to bolster its political forecasting efforts. In order to ensure transparency in...

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Prediction

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to specific points in time, the process is known as forecasting.[failed verification] Forecasting usually requires time series methods, while prediction...

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Valery Solovei

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is described as a conspiracy theorist. Solovei is known for his political forecasts. Some of his predictions about changes in the Russian leadership...

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Amy Walter

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Since 2015, she has also served as a political analyst for the PBS NewsHour. Walter specializes in forecasting and analyzing national U.S. elections...

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Backpropagation

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Backpropagation : From Ordered Derivatives to Neural Networks and Political Forecasting. New York: John Wiley & Sons. ISBN 0-471-59897-6. Anderson, James...

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Political science

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into the three sub-disciplines: comparative politics, international relations, and political theory. Political science is a social science dealing with systems...

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Rational choice theory

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the use by Bruce Bueno de Mesquita of rational choice theory in political forecasting To See The Future, Use The Logic Of Self-Interest - NPR audio clip...

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Mathematics of artificial neural networks

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J. (1994). The Roots of Backpropagation. From Ordered Derivatives to Neural Networks and Political Forecasting. New York, NY: John Wiley & Sons, Inc....

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Paul Werbos

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Backpropagation : From Ordered Derivatives to Neural Networks and Political Forecasting. New York: John Wiley & Sons. ISBN 0-471-59897-6. Werbos, P. (1990)...

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List of statistics articles

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Fokker–Planck equation Folded normal distribution Forecast bias Forecast error Forecast skill Forecasting Forest plot Fork-join queue Formation matrix Forward...

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Tilt

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Tilting Observatory in Chicago, Illinois In the nomenclature of political forecasting, a "tilt" seat is one in which one particular party is deemed to...

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Economic forecasting

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Economic forecasting is the process of making predictions about the economy. Forecasts can be carried out at a high level of aggregation—for example for...

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2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana

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Kerry defeated George W. Bush in this district 55% to 44% in 2004. CQ Politics forecast the race as Safe Democrat. This district is centered on South Bend...

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Political spectrum

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A political spectrum is a system to characterize and classify different political positions in relation to one another. These positions sit upon one or...

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