The Trafalgar Group is an opinion polling and survey company founded by Robert Cahaly and based in Atlanta, Georgia. It first publicly released polls in 2016. Trafalgar has been questioned for its methodology and for an apparent bias towards the Republican Party.[1]
Notably, Trafalgar successfully predicted the result of the 2016 U.S. presidential election. Although they incorrectly predicted the result of the 2020 U.S. presidential election for Trump in several states, their state polling margins were considered as some of the most accurate that cycle.[2]
Trafalgar's polls for the 2022 midterms were inaccurate, predicting Republican wins or close races in multiple states where Republicans ended up losing by significant margins.[3]
^Russonello, Giovanni; Lyall, Sarah (2020-11-02). "The One Pollster in America Who Is Sure Trump Is Going to Win". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2020-11-03.
^"President: General election : 2020 Polls". 28 June 2018.
^Hart, Benjamin (2022-11-17). "The Pollster Who Predicted a Red Wave Explains Himself". Intelligencer. Retrieved 2022-11-28.
The TrafalgarGroup is an opinion polling and survey company founded by Robert Cahaly and based in Atlanta, Georgia. It first publicly released polls...
Trafalgar most often refers to: Battle of Trafalgar (1805), fought near Cape Trafalgar, Spain Trafalgar Square, a public space and tourist attraction...
Trafalgar Square (/trəˈfælɡər/ trə-FAL-gər) is a public square in the City of Westminster, Central London, established in the early 19th century around...
The Battle of Trafalgar was a naval engagement that took place on 21 October 1805 between the British Royal Navy and the combined fleets of the French...
poll was sponsored by an undisclosed client retaining Summit Consulting Group This poll was sponsored by the Environmental Voter Project This poll was...
Celine (September 14, 2021). "Warnock picks up major abortion rights group's endorsement in reelection bid". The Hill. Turrentine, Jeff (March 8, 2022)...
founder of the TrafalgarGroup. He was previously a political consultant for Republican Party candidates. Cahaly founded TrafalgarGroup in 2016. He drew...
Mike Pence Vivek Ramaswamy Tim Scott Donald Trump Other Undecided TrafalgarGroup Feb 21–23, 2024 1093 (LV) ± 2.9% – – – 37.5% – – – – 58.9% – 3.6% Suffolk...
aggregate polling had Whitmer up by about 3%, and a last minute poll by TrafalgarGroup had Dixon ahead by 1%, the election was not close. Whitmer defeated...
with white voters without a college degree, winning this group by 17 points, and this group made up about 51% of Michigan's electorate, cementing the...
2022. "New party names candidates". Lower Bucks Times. Newspaper Media Group. April 19, 2022. Retrieved June 4, 2022. Winger, Richard (August 6, 2021)...
of Goldman Sachs Stephen Scharzman, chairman and CEO of The Blackstone Group Dan Senor, political advisor to Mitt Romney Mehmet Oz U.S. Presidents Donald...
Mike Pence Vivek Ramaswamy Tim Scott Donald Trump Other Undecided TrafalgarGroup Jan 12–14, 2024 1,092 (LV) ± 2.9% – – 19.3% – 18.5% 0.7% – 6.5% – 52...
nation. Starting in 1992, Pennsylvania became part of the blue wall—the group of states that voted Democratic for six straight elections from 1992 through...
pro-Affordable Care Act organisation CAP Action is a political advocacy group that exclusively supports Democratic candidates Poll sponsored by the Sanders...
sampling period The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group Heritage Action is the sister organisation of the Heritage Foundation, which...
Greitens in Missouri". POLITICO. Retrieved July 17, 2022. "Anti-Greitens group spends big in Missouri Senate primary". NBC News. July 26, 2022. Martin...
org. April 7, 2022. Retrieved September 6, 2022. "Ohio Veterans United group endorses JD Vance". November 12, 2021. Retrieved September 6, 2022. "'Endorsements"...
held a significant fundraising advantage until many Republican-aligned groups began spending to assist Masters in the final weeks of the campaign. On...
Senate. Heatlie joined Cruz's group after seeing Newsom's immigration video and was made moderator of a Facebook group, using it to make contacts and...
Mike Pence Vivek Ramaswamy Tim Scott Donald Trump Other Undecided TrafalgarGroup Jan 12–14, 2024 1,092 (LV) ± 2.9% – – 19.3% – 18.5% 0.7% – 6.5% – 52...
Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022. "Obama to campaign for group of vulnerable Democrats". Los Angeles Times. May 27, 2022. "Obama, in message...
DCCC Sponsored by an anonymous partisan group but not the Biden campaign Sponsored by an anonymous partisan group Poll sponsored by Ben Ray Luján's campaign...
by Trump, Georgia Gov. Kemp gets reinforcements from pro-GOP governors group, Chris Christie". Fox News. Archived from the original on March 22, 2022...
Center (SUPRC) SurveyMonkey SurveyUSA Susquehanna Polling & Research TrafalgarGroup University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion University...
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