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Regime shift information


Regime shifts are large, abrupt, persistent changes in the structure and function of ecosystems, the climate, financial systems or other complex systems.[1][2][3][4] A regime is a characteristic behaviour of a system which is maintained by mutually reinforced processes or feedbacks. Regimes are considered persistent relative to the time period over which the shift occurs. The change of regimes, or the shift, usually occurs when a smooth change in an internal process (feedback) or a single disturbance (external shocks) triggers a completely different system behavior.[5][6][7][8] Although such non-linear changes have been widely studied in different disciplines ranging from atoms to climate dynamics,[9] regime shifts have gained importance in ecology because they can substantially affect the flow of ecosystem services that societies rely upon,[4][10] such as provision of food, clean water or climate regulation. Moreover, regime shift occurrence is expected to increase as human influence on the planet increases – the Anthropocene[11] – including current trends on human induced climate change and biodiversity loss.[12] When regime shifts are associated with a critical or bifurcation point, they may also be referred to as critical transitions.[3]

  1. ^ Lewontin, R. (1969) Meaning of Stability. Brookhaven Sym Biol, 13
  2. ^ Holling, C.S. (1973) Resilience and stability of ecological systems. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 4, 1–23
  3. ^ a b Scheffer, Marten (26 July 2009). Critical transitions in nature and society. Princeton University Press. ISBN 978-0691122045.
  4. ^ a b Biggs, R., et al. (2009) Turning back from the brink: Detecting an impending regime shift in time to avert it. P Natl Acad Sci Usa 106, 826–831
  5. ^ Scheffer, M., et al. (2001) Catastrophic shifts in ecosystems. Nature 413, 591–596
  6. ^ Scheffer, M., and Carpenter, S. (2003) Catastrophic regime shifts in ecosystems: linking theory to observation. Trends Ecol. Evol. 18, 648–656
  7. ^ Folke, C., et al. (2004) Regime Shifts, Resilience, and Biodiversity in Ecosystem Management. Annu. Rev. Ecol. Evol. Syst. 35, 557–581
  8. ^ Beisner, B., et al. (2003) Alternative stable states in ecology. Front. Ecol. Environ. 1, 376–382
  9. ^ Feudel, U. (2008) Complex dynamics in multistable systems. Int J Bifurcat Chaos 18, 1607–1626
  10. ^ Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005) Ecosystems and human well-being: biodiversity synthesis. 87
  11. ^ Steffen, W., et al. (2007) The Anthropocene: Are humans now overwhelming the great forces of nature. Ambio 36, 614–621
  12. ^ Rockström, J., et al. (2009) A safe operating space for humanity. Nature 461, 472–475

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ecological succession to replace these extinct megafaunal species, and the regime shift of previously established faunal relationships and habitats as a consequence...

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a tipping point can trigger a regime shift, a major systems reorganisation into a new stable state. Such regime shifts need not be harmful. In the context...

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state shift (sometimes termed a phase shift or regime shift), when perturbed. Due to ecological feedbacks, ecosystems display resistance to state shifts and...

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