Opinion polling for the 2023 Australian Indigenous Voice referendum information
This article is part of a series on the
Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Voice
Proposed Australian federal Indigenous advisory body to represent Indigenous communities.
Background
Constitutional recognition of Indigenous Australians
Reconciliation in Australia
Indigenous treaties in Australia
Australian Indigenous sovereignty
2023 referendum
Opinion polling
Endorsements
Results
See also
Uluru Statement from the Heart
State and territory voices
Australia portal
v
t
e
Opinion polling on whether to change the Australian Constitution to establish an Indigenous Voice has been conducted since 2017, when Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander leaders petitioned for such an amendment as part of the Uluru Statement from the Heart.[1] The number of these polls conducted grew substantially following Labor's victory in the 2022 federal election; the party had committed to holding the referendum required for this constitutional change in its first term of government.[2]
At least ten firms polled Australians on the proposed amendment, greater than the number who have polled party support for any previous Australian election.[2] Some firms were commissioned by media organisations, think tanks, advocacy groups or university foundations. Other firms self-initiated their polls for market research or strategic communications purposes.[2] Considering methodologies, polls were almost exclusively conducted online, with only one firm using SMS. Pollsters differed on whether to give a forced-choice question, as is done in actual Australian referendums, or allow respondents to express indecision or lack of knowledge. Some pollsters also used Likert-style questions to allow respondents to express how strong their opinion is.[2]
The Australian Constitution requires a proposed amendment to attain a double majority in the referendum – not only a majority of votes nationwide, but also a majority in at least four of the six states. Because of this requirement, the level of support in each state was of special interest.[2] One way pollsters investigated state-level support was to break down results from national polls. However, these polls sometimes did not survey enough people from each state to give reliable results about state-level support, especially for smaller states like Tasmania and South Australia. Another way pollsters investigated was by specifically surveying people from a particular state.[2]
Pollsters also often broke down their results by age, gender, and party affiliation. The last was of particular interest because bipartisan support is often considered necessary for an Australian referendum to pass, though it is not a formal requirement.[2]
The extent of support for the Voice among Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians was a key point of discussion. All publicly available polling indicated absolute majorities among this group favouring the Voice. Important caveats include the small sample size associated with certain polls, the length of time elapsed since the polls were conducted, and the lack of publicly available results and methodologies for certain polls.[3]
^Markham, Francis; Sanders, William (2020). "Support for a constitutionally enshrined First Nations Voice to Parliament: Evidence from opinion research since 2017". Centre for Aboriginal Economic Policy Research (138/2020). Canberra: Australian National University. doi:10.25911/5fb398ee9c47d. ISBN 978-1-925286-54-0. ISSN 1442-3871.
^ abcdefgGoot, Murray (23 February 2023). "Support in the polls for an Indigenous constitutional Voice: How broad, how strong, how vulnerable?". Journal of Australian Studies. 47 (2). Routledge: 373–397. doi:10.1080/14443058.2023.2175892. ISSN 1444-3058. S2CID 257181010.
^Cite error: The named reference ABC fact check was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
and 27 Related for: Opinion polling for the 2023 Australian Indigenous Voice referendum information
Opinionpolling on whether to change theAustralian Constitution to establish an IndigenousVoice has been conducted since 2017, when Aboriginal and Torres...
The2023AustralianIndigenousVoicereferendum was a constitutional referendum held on 14 October 2023 in which the proposed Aboriginal and Torres Strait...
The2023AustralianIndigenousVoicereferendum was held on 14 October 2023. Voters were asked if they approved an alteration to theAustralian Constitution...
In the run-up to the next Australian federal election, a number of polling companies are conducting opinion polls for various news organisations. These...
against the proposed IndigenousVoice to Parliament in the lead-up to the2023AustralianIndigenousVoicereferendum, which was held on 14 October. The Uluru...
against the proposal. Had it succeeded, theAustralian Constitution would have recognised IndigenousAustralians in the document by prescribing theVoice, which...
March 2024. After the 2023 AustralianIndigenousVoicereferendum in which over 60% of South Australians voted against theVoice, state Liberal leader David...
called forthe establishment of an IndigenousVoice to Parliament as their preferred form of recognition. When submitted to a national referendum in 2023 by...
committed to implementing it in full. However, theVoice was rejected at a subsequent referendum in 2023, with the government noting that further action on...
Newspoll is an Australianopinionpolling brand, published by TheAustralian and administered by Australianpolling firm Pyxis Polling & Insights. Pyxis...
The next Australian federal election will be held on or before 27 September 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. All 150 seats in...
members of theAustralian Parliament. There has been an assistant minister forthe republic since June 2022. In a referendum held in 1999, Australian voters...
Essential PollingforThe Guardian found that 54% were opposed to changing the date; 26% of Australians supported changing the date and 19% had no opinion. A...
minister announced that a referendumfor an IndigenousVoice to parliament would be held before December 2023. On 30 January 2023, Albanese unveiled a new...
the original on 22 May 2022. Retrieved 23 May 2022. "Referendum2023". Australian Electoral Commission. Retrieved 12 October 2023. "IndigenousVoice to...
that the 2023AustralianIndigenousVoicereferendum would be held on 14 October 2023. This means that tens of thousands of New Zealand Australians would...
two-party system with theAustralian Labor Party (ALP). It also contests federal elections as an affiliate of the Liberal Party of Australia and National Party...
The Crimean status referendum of 2014 was a disputed referendum on March 16, 2014, concerning the status of Crimea that was conducted in the Autonomous...
The monarchy of Australia is a key component of Australia's form of government, embodied by theAustralian sovereign and head of state. The Australian...
Berejiklian's resignation as Premier. In July 2023, ahead of theAustralianIndigenousVoicereferendum, Howard said that "the luckiest thing that happened to this...
Aggregate data of voting intention from all opinionpolling since the last federal election. Local regression trends for each party, weighted by sample size,...
The politics of Australia operates under the written Australian Constitution, which sets out Australia as a constitutional monarchy, governed via a parliamentary...
TheAustralian Marriage Law Postal Survey was a national survey designed to gauge support for legalising same-sex marriage in Australia. The survey was...
office as the leader of theAustralian Labor Party (ALP). Rudd has been the 23rd and current ambassador of Australia to the United States since 2023. Born...
First had again reached the 10% mark in opinionpollingforthe 2005 election. Pre-election polls put New Zealand First ahead of the other minor parties....