This article is about the author and statistician. For the American football player, see Nate Silver (quarterback). For the American filmmaker, see Nathan Silver.
Nate Silver
Silver playing poker at Manifest 2023
Born
Nathaniel Read Silver
(1978-01-13) January 13, 1978 (age 46)[1]
East Lansing, Michigan, U.S.
Education
University of Chicago (BA)
Occupation(s)
Statistician, journalist
Years active
2000–present
Known for
PECOTA, FiveThirtyEight
Website
natesilver.substack.com
Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023.[2]
Silver was named one of the world's 100 most influential people by Time in 2009 after an election forecasting system he developed successfully predicted the outcomes in forty-nine of the fifty states in the 2008 U.S. presidential election.[3] His subsequent election forecasting systems predicted the outcome of the 2012 and 2020 presidential elections with a high degree of accuracy. His polls-only model gave Donald Trump only a 28.6% chance of victory in the 2016 presidential election,[4] but this was higher than many other forecasting competitors.[5]
Much of Silver's approach can be characterized by using probabilistic and statistical modeling to try to understand complex social systems, such as professional sports, the popularity of political platforms, and elections.
^"Nate Silver tweet". Twitter.com. August 13, 2010. Archived from the original on February 20, 2012. Retrieved August 21, 2012.
^Cite error: The named reference :0 was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
^Stein, Joel. "The World's Most Influential People – The 2009 TIME 100". TIME. Archived from the original on May 8, 2009. Retrieved May 8, 2009.
Silver. Wikiquote has quotations related to NateSilver. Appearances on C-SPAN NateSilver at IMDb NateSilver's publications indexed by the Scopus bibliographic...
politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. Founder NateSilver left in April 2023. On September 18, 2023, the original website domain...
Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail – but Some Don't is a 2012 book by NateSilver detailing the art of using probability and statistics as applied to real-world...
blog FiveThirtyEight in a three-year agreement. The blog, written by NateSilver, had garnered attention during the 2008 presidential election for predicting...
with Carl Bialik and Walter Hickey, Enten was one of the first people NateSilver hired when FiveThirtyEight relaunched under ESPN. He mostly wrote politics...
Jamie Raskin Jim Risch Franklin D. Roosevelt Paul Ryan Bruce Schroeder NateSilver Phil Simms Steve-O Donald Trump Jr. Sam Worthington (as Jake Sully from...
representative of the typical PECOTA entry. PECOTA was developed by NateSilver in 2002–2003 and introduced to the public in the book Baseball Prospectus...
foundational professional communities. Many statisticians, including NateSilver, have argued that data science is not a new field, but rather another...
Across and Down". The New York Times Magazine. Retrieved January 3, 2024. Silver, Nate (August 25, 2010). "Welcome (and Welcome Back) to FiveThirtyEight". The...
Fischer-Baum and NateSilver, "The Complete History of the NBA," FiveThirtyEight, May 21, 2015.[2] Archived 2015-05-23 at the Wayback Machine Silver, Nate (September...
2023-06-19. Cohn, Nate (2023-02-03). "Is Trump Way Up or Way Down?". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2023-06-19. Silver, Nate (2023-03-09)....
and were supported by pundits and statisticians, including NateSilver of FiveThirtyEight, Nate Cohn at The New York Times, and Larry Sabato from the Crystal...
SBNation, also worked on popularizing sabermetrics since the mid-1980s. NateSilver, a former writer and managing partner of Baseball Prospectus, invented...
Grim's criticisms were later repudiated by FiveThirtyEight founder NateSilver, and Grim issued corrections to his original blog post. In August 2020...
in the Western Division and worst overall in the league. According to NateSilver and Reuben Fischer-Baum, applying the Elo rating system, this was, through...
national affairs correspondent) ABC News Radio David Blaustein Vic Ratner (Capitol Hill) Steven Portnoy Alex Stone Doug Limerick FiveThirtyEight NateSilver...
soon after NateSilver and FiveThirtyEight left the Times, it was widely described as a planned replacement for FiveThirtyEight and Silver. However, Leonhardt...
national affairs correspondent) ABC News Radio David Blaustein Vic Ratner (Capitol Hill) Steven Portnoy Alex Stone Doug Limerick FiveThirtyEight NateSilver...
1, 2020. Silver, Nate (April 27, 2012). "Arizona Is (Probably) Not a Swing State". The New York Times. Retrieved June 6, 2013. Silver, Nate (November...
analysis and "calling" of dozens of federal and elections and referendums; NateSilver, whose website FiveThirtyEight tracks U.S. voting trends; Frank Luntz...
New York Times bestselling book The Signal and the Noise, forecaster NateSilver urges readers to be "more foxy" after summarising Berlin's distinction...
Elizabeth Smart marries in Hawaii". Reuters. Retrieved February 19, 2012. Eaton, Nate (May 18, 2015). "ED SMART'S BIG SCREEN MISSION TO STOP CHILD SEX TRAFFICKING"...
Baseball portal Evidence-based practices Casey Award Ball Four Bull Durham NateSilver who developed PECOTA, the Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization...
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