The Hubbert curve is an approximation of the production rate of a resource over time. It is a symmetric logistic distribution curve,[1] often confused with the "normal" gaussian function. It first appeared in "Nuclear Energy and the Fossil Fuels," geologist M. King Hubbert's 1956 presentation to the American Petroleum Institute, as an idealized symmetric curve, during his tenure at the Shell Oil Company.[1] It has gained a high degree of popularity in the scientific community for predicting the depletion of various natural resources. [dubious – discuss][citation needed] The curve is the main component of Hubbert peak theory, which has led to the rise of peak oil concerns. Basing his calculations on the peak of oil well discovery in 1948, Hubbert used his model in 1956 to create a curve which predicted that oil production in the contiguous United States would peak around 1970.[1]
^ abcM. King Hubbert. "Nuclear Energy and the Fossil Fuels" (PDF). Drilling and Production Practice (1956) American Petroleum Institute & Shell Development Co. Publication No. 95, See Pp 9-11, 21-22. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2008-05-27.
The Hubbertcurve is an approximation of the production rate of a resource over time. It is a symmetric logistic distribution curve, often confused with...
followed the discovery curve after a time lag of 32 to 35 years. The theory is named after American geophysicist M. King Hubbert, who created a method...
The Hubbert peak theory makes predictions of production rates based on prior discovery rates and anticipated production rates. Hubbertcurves predict...
The Hubbert linearization is a way to plot production data to estimate two important parameters of a Hubbertcurve, the approximated production rate of...
Anthracite was studied by Hubbert, and matches a curve closely. Pennsylvania's coal production also matches Hubbert'scurve closely, but this does not...
Hyperbolic growth Heaviside step function Hill equation (biochemistry) Hubbertcurve List of mathematical functions STAR model Michaelis–Menten kinetics...
condition of a global shortage of fossil fuels. Unlike the symmetrical Hubbertcurve fossil fuel model, the Seneca cliff model shows material asymmetry,...
sources, it can also affect the timing of peak oil and the shape of the Hubbertcurve. Energy policy may be reformed leading to greater energy intensity,...
use. The Hubbertcurve has become popular in the scientific community for predicting the depletion of various natural resources. M. King Hubbert created...
continues to be delivered well into the future". M. King Hubbert, author of the HubbertCurve. Thomas Robert Malthus – the originator of the Malthusian...
are easy to analyze. Decline curves are also one of the oldest methods of predicting oil reserves. Energy portal Hubbert peak theory Oil exploration Oil...
as well as future discoveries. The most influential production model is Hubbert peak theory,[citation needed] first proposed in the 1950s. The effect of...
distribution How to Lie with Statistics (book) Howland will forgery trial Hubbertcurve Huber–White standard error – see Heteroscedasticity-consistent standard...
intensive. A modified Hubbertcurve applies to any resource that can be harvested faster than it can be replaced. Though Hubbert's original analysis did...
The concept of peak gas follows from Hubbert peak theory, which is most commonly associated with peak oil. Hubbert saw gas, coal and oil as natural resources...
lead–lead dating, geologist and geophysicist M. King Hubbert, known for the Hubbertcurve and Hubbert peak theory, the main components of peak oil, and "Queen...
Comparison of global oil supply forecasts The report noted that Hubbert had used the logistic curve because it was mathematically convenient, not because he...
3, (2009), 323–326, doi:10.1016/j.energy.2008.08.015. Seneca cliff Hubbertcurve Club of Rome "ASPO 2005 IV International Workshop on Oil and Gas Depletion...
Kaku discusses the draining of oil on the planet by pointing to the Hubbertcurve, and the rising problem of immigrants who wish to live the American...
in 1986. But then instead of declining further, as predicted by the Hubbertcurve, natural gas production rose slowly but steadily for the next 15 years...
currently commercially fished for will collapse by 2048. A Hubbert linearization (Hubbertcurve) has been applied to the whaling industry, as well as charting...
especially Europe. Energy conservation Energy crisis Marion King Hubbert, and the Hubbertcurve Peak oil Malthusianism Hirsch, Robert L.; Bezdek, Roger; Wendling...
curve, declining as rapidly as it had risen. Hubbert used his observation of the US coal extraction to predict the behavior of peak oil. The Hubbert linearization...
The Hubbert peak theory makes predictions of production rates based on prior discovery rates and anticipated production rates. Hubbertcurves predict...
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