Casualty prediction is the science of predicting the number of deaths or injuries that may result from an epidemic, natural disaster or act of war such as the explosion of a nuclear weapon, chemical weapon or biological weapon.[1][2][3][4] (Casualty estimation is the process of estimating the number of injuries or deaths in a battle or natural disaster that has already occurred.)
The New York University Large Scale Emergency Readiness Project[5] applies agent-based modelling to simulate the effects of a large-scale disaster. Their initial project focused on modelling a 1998 Brazilian food-poisoning incident involving 8,000 injuries and 16 deaths.
Blast casualty prediction is routinely performed in the planning of military operations. For example, a cruise missile attack was considered by the United States in 1998 for Tarnak Farms in order to kill Osama bin Laden. However, not enough was known about the collateral damage effects of cruise missiles on mud huts. At the time there were estimated to be 100 women and children in the area, and in order to spare these civilians, the attack was not approved.[6]
^"BLAST CASUALTY PREDICTION-PAST, PRESENT, AND FUTURE.", by John J. Shea, April, 1968[dead link], Defense Technical Information Center
^"Demographics and Casualty Prediction/Analysis", by John J. Shea, February, 1980[dead link], Defense Technical Information Center
^"Responding to Simulated Pandemic Influenza in San Antonio, Texas", by George Miller, Stephen Randolph and Jan E. Patterson, Infection control and hospital epidemiology, April 2008
^"Casualty estimation in modern warfare", by David R. Gibson, Army Logistician, Nov-Dec, 2003
^Large Scale Emergency Readiness Project
^Ghost Wars
and 22 Related for: Casualty prediction information
Casualtyprediction is the science of predicting the number of deaths or injuries that may result from an epidemic, natural disaster or act of war such...
statistical extrapolations, became known as casualty recording in the early twenty-first century. Casualtyprediction is the process of estimating the number...
Look up body count in Wiktionary, the free dictionary. Casualty estimation Casualtyprediction Loss exchange ratio Salmin, Dee (3 November 2021). "Body...
with little left in reserve for any subsequent defense operations. Casualtypredictions varied widely, but were extremely high. Depending on the degree to...
not making public testing more available while giving unreliable casualtypredictions which he claimed led to more deaths and Spain implementing a stricter...
defend the home islands, backed by a civilian militia of 28 million. Casualtypredictions varied widely, but were extremely high. The Vice Chief of the Imperial...
Canadians' victory came at the cost of 15,654 casualties, including 4,028 killed. Currie's grim casualtyprediction had been accurate. By early 1918 the Canadian...
weather predictions using probabilities ("20% chance of rain"). By the early 1990s, Travelers was predominantly a general property and casualty insurer...
the form of graphics and high seas forecasts year round, with the Ocean Prediction Center having backup responsibility for this unit. The Technology and...
The sixteenth series of the British medical drama television series Casualty commenced airing in the United Kingdom on BBC One on 15 September 2001 and...
to the Southeastern and Eastern United States. On January 7, the Storm Prediction Center issued an enhanced risk for severe weather in the states of Texas...
Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Aviation Weather Center (AWC) Climate Prediction Center (CPC) Environmental Modeling Center (EMC) Weather Prediction Center (WPC)...
Statistical Encyclopedia of Casualty and Other Figures, 1492-2015. McFarland. p. 664. ISBN 9780786474707. Defense Casualty Analysis System search Archived...
The Keys to the White House is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States. It was developed by American...
rest occurred in the United States in 1953 or earlier, before tornado prediction efforts began. The only tornado on this list to occur during the 21st...
States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)'s Climate Prediction Center, Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), Tropical Storm...
prediction was popular between 1966 and 1976, which overlapped with the Cultural Revolution. This reached its height with the successful prediction of...
and eastern Oklahoma, during the afternoon hours. As such, the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) issued a moderate risk of severe thunderstorms during the...
Alabama alone, 238 tornado-related deaths were confirmed by the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) and the state's Emergency Management Agency. April 27's 316...
August 27, 2018 (2018-08-27) 3.57 A killer is choosing victims based on the predictions of a deceased man who claimed to foresee future deaths, including the...