Expertise in S-Curve Criticism of the Technological Singularity
Scientific career
Fields
Physics, forecasting, business consulting
Institutions
CERN University of Geneva Digital Equipment Corporation Growth Dynamics
Academic advisors
Jack Steinberger
Theodore Modis (born August 11, 1943) is a strategic business analyst, futurist, physicist, and international consultant. He specializes in applying fundamental scientific concepts to predicting social phenomena. In particular, he uses the law of natural growth in competition as expressed by the logistic function or S-curve to forecast markets, product sales, primary-energy substitutions, the diffusion of technologies, and generally any process that grows in competition.[1][2][3][4][5] He is a vehement critic of the concept of the Technological Singularity.[6][7][8][9][10] He has suggested a simple mathematical relationship between Entropy and Complexity as the latter being the time derivative of the former.[11]
He currently lives in Lugano, Switzerland.
^Modis, Theodore (2013). "Long-Term GDP Forecasts and the Prospects for Growth" (PDF). Technological Forecasting & Social Change. 80 (8): 1557. doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.02.010. S2CID 55535180.
^Modis, Theodore (1994). "Life Cycles - Forecasting the Rise and Fall of Almost Anything" (PDF). The Futurist. 28 (5): 20.
^Modis, Theodore (July 1, 2013). Natural Laws in the Service of the Decision Maker: How to Use Science-Based Methodologies to See more Clearly further into the Future (1 ed.). Lugano, Switzerland: Growth Dynamics. p. 246. ISBN 978-2970021681.
^Modis, Theodore (2007). “Strengths and Weaknesses of S-Curves”. Technological Forecasting & Social Change. 74, (6): 866-872.
^Debecker, Alain, and Modis, Theodore (1994). “Determination of the Uncertainties in S-curve Logistic Fits”. Technological Forecasting & Social Change. 46 (2): 153-173.
^Modis, Theodore (2020). “Forecasting the Growth of Complexity and Change—An Update”. Published in Korotayev, Andrey; LePoire, David (Eds.) (January 3, 2020). The 21st Century Singularity and Global Futures (1 ed.). Springer. p. 620. ISBN 978-3-030-33730-8. pp 101-104
^Modis, Theodore (2012). “Why the Singularity Cannot Happen”. Published in Eden, Amnon H. et al (Eds.) (2012). Singularity Hypothesis(PDF). New York: Springer. p. 311. ISBN 978-3-642-32560-1. pp 311-339.
^Modis, Theodore (2006). “The Singularity Myth”. Technological Forecasting & Social Change. 73 (2): 104-112.
^Modis, Theodore (May–June 2003). “The Limits of Complexity and Change”. The Futurist. 37 (3): 26-32.
^Modis, Theodore (2002). “Forecasting the Growth of Complexity and Change”. Technological Forecasting & Social Change. 69 (4): 377-404.
^Modis, Theodore (2022). "Links between entropy, complexity, and the technological singularity". Technological Forecasting and Social Change. Volume 176, 2022-3, p. 121457. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2021.121457.
in the universe. Modis is the father of Yorgo Modis, the grandson of Theodoros Modis, and nephew of Georgios Modis. Modis, Theodore (2013). "Long-Term...
Paul Allen, Jeff Hawkins, John Holland, Jaron Lanier, Steven Pinker, TheodoreModis, and Gordon Moore. One claim made was that the artificial intelligence...
Theodoros Modis (Greek: Θεόδωρος Μόδης; died 1904) Macedonian merchant and politician TheodoreModis (born 1945) Greek-Swiss business analyst Yorgo Modis (born...
He is the grandfather of TheodoreModis, the great-grandfather of Yorgo Modis, and the uncle of Georgios Modis. TheodoreModis, Fortune Favors the Bold:...
Switzerland Modis is the son of TheodoreModis and Carole Gene Modis. He is the great-grandson of Theodoros Modis and grandnephew of Georgios Modis. "Professor...
Georgios Modis (Greek: Γεώργιος Μόδης; 14 May 1887 – 18 June 1975) was a Greek jurist, politician, writer and participant in the Macedonian Struggle....
writer, philosopher, creator of hypertext concept and Xanadu project TheodoreModis 1943 living business, physics Thomas Frey 1954 living futurist speaker...
which technology progression surpasses human biological evolution. Both TheodoreModis and Jonathan Huebner have argued—each from different perspectives—that...
until recently followed a hyperbolic rather than exponential pattern. TheodoreModis says "nothing in nature follows a pure exponential" and suggests the...
Foundation entitled One Half of a Manifesto. Physicist and futurist TheodoreModis claims that Kurzweil's thesis of a "technological singularity" lacks...
Chalkeus Sterie Diamandi Neagu Djuvara Jovan Karamata Mina Minovici TheodoreModis Yorgo Modis Daniel Moscopolites George Murnu Pericle Papahagi Nicolae Malaxa...
from the original on December 17, 2020. Retrieved December 17, 2020. "TheodoreModis – AI Profile". "David Robert Nygren | Explore University Of Texas At...
Guy Theodore Sebastian AM (born 26 October 1981) is an Australian singer-songwriter who rose to fame after winning the first season of Australian Idol...
v t e Theodore Roosevelt Award winners 1967: Eisenhower 1968: Saltonstall 1969: White 1970: Hovde 1971: Kraft Jr. 1972: Holland 1973: Omar Bradley 1974:...
front dissolved with the Molotov–Ribbentrop Pact. The American historian Theodore Draper argued that "the so-called theory of social fascism and the practice...
Theodore "Ted" Caplow (born 1969) is an American social entrepreneur, environmental engineer, and inventor. He is the founder of greenhouse science lab...
him and told him, 'I'm not going to endorse you,'" Cruz said. Theodore Schleifer, Theodore; Borger, Gloria; Bash, Dana (September 23, 2016). "Ted Cruz endorses...
from the original on April 13, 2020. Retrieved April 15, 2020. Schleifer, Theodore (April 2, 2020). "Why Jeff Bezos's $100 million donation to food banks...
Python and the Holy Grail Portrayed by Terry Jones. Prince Alexander "Alex" Theodore William Hendricks My Christmas Prince He is the crown prince of Madelvia...
early medieval penitential handbook based on the judgements of Archbishop Theodore of Canterbury. It exists in multiple versions, the fullest and historically...
American actor Allan Théo Alain Rouget 1972- French singer Brother TheodoreTheodore Gottlieb 1906-2001 German-American actor and comedian E Thi Swe Swe...
original on December 13, 2020. Retrieved December 13, 2020. Schleifer, Theodore (January 11, 2021). "The big decision before Elon Musk, now the richest...
the original on 7 May 2018. Retrieved 6 May 2018. Baskaran, Sundararaj Theodore (1 January 2009). History through the lens: perspectives on South Indian...
Postol, Theodore, Part 1: Iron Dome or Iron Sieve? Evidence Questions Effectiveness of U.S.-Funded Israeli Missile Shield and Postol, Theodore (31 July...
People James Allsup Andrew Anglin Andrew "weev" Auernheimer Steve Bannon Theodore "Vox Day" Beale Carl "Sargon of Akkad" Benjamin Owen Benjamin Don Black...
conservative doctrine known as social Catholicism. In the United States, Theodore Roosevelt has been the principal figure identified with progressive conservatism...
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