Statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election information
Research done to predict the outcome of the 2016 presidential election
For earlier polls, see January–August 2016 statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election and Pre-2016 statewide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election.
2016 United States presidential election polling
← 2012
November 8, 2016 (2016-11-08)
2020 →
Leading presidential 2016 candidate by electoral vote count. States in gray have no polling data. Polls from lightly shaded states are older than September 1, 2016. This map only represents the most recent statewide polling data; it is not a prediction for the 2016 election.
Hillary Clinton
216
Donald Trump
184*
Margin of error between Clinton and Trump
134*
No data
4
*No margin of error recorded for Nebraska's congressional districts. Maine and Nebraska both award 1 electoral vote per congressional district and 2 statewide electoral votes. Trump leads in Nebraska's 1st and 3rd congressional districts, while Clinton leads in Maine's 1st congressional district. Nebraska's 2nd congressional district could possibly be within the margin of error and Maine's 2nd congressional district is within the margin of error.
(270 electoral votes needed to win)
Incumbent before election
Barack Obama
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Donald Trump
Republican
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← 2012
2016
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Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election include the following. The polls listed here provide early data on opinion polling between the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, the Libertarian candidate, and the Green candidate. Prior to the parties' conventions, presumptive candidates were included in the polls. State polling is not conducted in all states for the election due to various factors. More polls usually are conducted in states that are considered swing states as more attention is given to the results. For determining a statistical tie, the margin of error provided by the polling source is applied to the result for each candidate.
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