The term was coined after John Major was returned to power in 1992.
"Shy Tory factor" is a name given by British opinion polling companies to a phenomenon first observed by psephologists in the early 1990s. They observed that the share of the electoral vote won by the Conservative Party (known colloquially as the "Tories") was significantly higher than the equivalent share in opinion polls.[1] The accepted explanation was that so-called "shy Tories" were voting Conservative after telling pollsters they would not. The general elections held in 1992 and 2015 are examples where it has allegedly affected the overall results, but has also been discussed in other elections where the Conservatives did unexpectedly well. It has also been applied to the success of the Republican Party in the United States or the continued electoral victories of the People's Action Party in Singapore.[1][2][3]
^ abMount, Harry (4 November 2004). "Republicans shyly make their presence felt". www.telegraph.co.uk. Retrieved 3 November 2010.
^"Singapore Elections: All Sunshine for the PAP?". 15 September 2015.
^WEISS, MEREDITH L., et al. “The 2015 General Election and Singapore's Political Forecast: White Clouds, Blue Skies.” Asian Survey, vol. 56, no. 5, 2016, pp. 859–878. JSTOR, www.jstor.org/stable/26364391. Accessed 10 May 2021.
"ShyToryfactor" is a name given by British opinion polling companies to a phenomenon first observed by psephologists in the early 1990s. They observed...
polling companies changed their methodology in the belief that a 'ShyToryfactor' affected the polling. The election turnout of 77.67% was the highest...
respondents for not giving candid answers (e.g., the Bradley effect, the ShyToryFactor); these can be more controversial.[citation needed] Polls based on...
polling companies changed their methodology in the belief that a 'ShyToryfactor' affected the polling. All data is from UK Polling Report. Heath, Anthony;...
Similar effects have been posited in other contexts, for example, the shyToryfactor and spiral of silence. In 1982, Tom Bradley, the long-time mayor of...
identified a number of causes including differential response rates (the ShyToryFactor), the use of inadequate demographic data and poor choice of sampling...
Retrieved 26 April 2020. "Tories appoint new Scottish chairman". BBC. 14 September 2001. Retrieved 26 April 2020. "June 19, 1997: Tories pick young Hague". Gulf...
University of Cambridge Statistical Laboratory. 15 May 2015. "Is there a shyToryfactor in 2015?". Number Cruncher Politics. 6 May 2015. "Voter samples flawed...
literature: Nazi Germany Irish republican legitimism Reichsbürger movement ShyToryfactor Sovereign citizen movement Spiral of silence Union of Slavic Forces...
Pluralistic ignorance Revolutions Russian Revolution Secret ballot ShyToryfactor Signalling theory Social desirability bias Social proof Spiral of silence...
(University of Cambridge Statistical Laboratory), 15 May 2015 "Is there a shyToryfactor in 2015?", Number Cruncher Politics, 6 May 2015 "Matt Singh on Bloomberg...
to being a quiet Australian in the shire of Sydney. Majoritarianism ShyToryFactor Silent majority Social desirability bias "Tally Room". Australian Electoral...
Gag Factor is a series of pornographic films made by JM Productions featuring deep throating (irrumatio). The first film was released in 2000. The series...
before speaking. Mistaking introversion for shyness is a common error. Introversion is a preference, while shyness stems from distress. Introverts prefer solitary...
voting intentions.[citation needed] Another theory was the issue of 'shyTories' not wanting to openly declare their intention to vote Conservative to...
from the original on 27 January 2024. Retrieved 27 January 2024. Shepherd, Tory (21 December 2023). "Antoinette Lattouf says she is considering 'legal options'...
2019). "Live+7 Weekly Ratings: A Million Little Things Just One Percent Shy of Season-High Among Adults 18-49 in its Thursday Debut". Programming Insider...
moved to London, England. He was well received by King George III and the Tories but frowned upon by the Whigs and most Army officers. In 1787, he moved...
Althia (October 13, 2019). "Singh Will Push For Coalition Government If Tories Fall Shy of Majority". HuffPost. Archived from the original on July 6, 2021...
February 2023. Vorderman, Carol. "Carol Vorderman's diary: I'm counting down to Tory wipeout". www.prospectmagazine.co.uk. Retrieved 6 February 2024. Walker,...
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