Opinion polling for the 2018 Quebec general election information
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This table provides a list of scientific, public opinion polls that were conducted from the 2014 Quebec general election leading up to the 2018 Quebec general election, which took place as scheduled on October 1, 2018.
Evolution of voting intentions during the 2018 Quebec general election campaign. Plot generated in R from data in the table below. Trendlines are local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the regressions, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.Evolution of voting intentions during the pre-campaign period of the 2018 Quebec general election.
Polling firm
Last date of polling
Link
QLP
PQ
CAQ
QS
Other
Lead
Sample Size
Margin of Error
Method
2018 election
October 1, 2018
HTML
24.8
17.1
37.4
16.1
4.6
12.6
—
—
—
Forum
September 30, 2018
PDF
28
20
33
17
2
5
—
—
IVR
Research Co.
September 30, 2018
HTML
30
18
33
16
3
3
625
3.9%
Online
Angus Reid Institute
September 30, 2018
PDF
25
18
32
20
5
7
635
4%
Online
Ipsos
September 28, 2018
PDF
31
18
32
16
3
1
1250
3.2%
Online/telephone
Mainstreet
September 27, 2018
HTML
29.0
19.5
31.5
16.3
3.6
2.5
1760
2.3%
IVR
Leger
September 27, 2018
PDF
30
19
32
17
2
2
1502
2.7%
Online
Ipsos
September 23, 2018
PDF
30
20
30
16
4
0
1250
3.2%
Online/telephone
Research Co.
September 22, 2018
HTML
30
19
32
16
3
2
601
4.0
Online
Third televised debate (in French, September 20, 2018)
Second televised debate (in English, September 17, 2018)
Leger
September 17, 2018
PDF
30
21
31
14
4
1
3017
1.78%
Online
CROP
September 17, 2018
PDF
37
16
30
14
3
7
1000
—
Online
Forum
September 15, 2018
PDF
22
24
32
19
2
8
1274
3%
IVR
Mainstreet
September 15, 2018
HTML
28.6
21.5
29.1
17.1
3.6
0.5
1665
2.4%
IVR
First televised debate (in French, September 13, 2018)
Leger
September 10, 2018
PDF
29
21
35
11
4
6
1014
3.1%
Online
Mainstreet
September 7, 2018
HTML
27.2
21.1
32.2
15.7
3.8
5.0
2531
1.9%
IVR
Leger
August 28, 2018
PDF
32
19
37
8
4
5
1010
3.1%
Online
Election period officially begins (August 24, 2018)
Forum
August 23, 2018
PDF
22
21
42
13
2
20
965
3%
IVR
Ipsos
August 21, 2018
PDF
29
18
36
11
6
7
1501
2.9%
Online/Telephone
Mainstreet
August 20, 2018
PDF
25.6
17.7
32.1
13.9
10.7
6.5
1647
2.4%
IVR
CROP
August 20, 2018
PDF
36
15
38
10
2
2
1000
3.1%
Online
Leger
August 14, 2018
PDF
30
18
36
10
6
6
2488
2.0%
Online
Mainstreet
July 29, 2018
HTML
29.7
16.5
32.3
11.7
9.8
2.6
1320
2.7%
IVR
CROP
June 19, 2018
PDF
33
14
39
11
3
6
1002
3.1%
Online
Leger
June 10, 2018
PDF
28
19
37
9
7
9
3234
1.7%
Online
Leger
May 8, 2018
PDF
26
22
35
10
6
9
1018
3.1%
Online
Ipsos
May 2, 2018
HTML
32
20
35
8
5
3
2001
2.5%
Online
CROP
April 2018
PDF
35
16
35
12
2
0
1005
—
Online
Mainstreet
April 9, 2018
HTML
29.7
16.2
30.1
12.0
12.0
0.4
1200
2.8%
IVR
Leger
April 8, 2018
PDF
29
21
34
9
7
5
1019
3.1%
Online
CROP
March 2018
PDF
35
14
37
12
2
2
1026
—
Online
Mainstreet
March 1, 2018
HTML
27.8
19.8
32.0
10.8
9.6
4.2
1062
3.1%
IVR
Leger
March 1, 2018
PDF
26
22
37
9
7
11
993
3.1%
Online
Ipsos
February 4, 2018
HTML
30
23
34
8
6
4
1297
4.4%
Online/telephone
Leger
January 24, 2018
PDF
28
20
39
9
4
11
983
3.1%
Online
CROP
January 2018
PDF
36
18
34
9
3
2
1000
—
Online
Mainstreet
January 6, 2018
HTML
31.4
18.1
31.6
14.9
4.0
0.2
965
3.1%
IVR
CROP
December 2017
PDF
36
14
38
10
2
2
1000
—
Online
Mainstreet
December 8, 2017
PDF
29
24
31
15
2
2
1500
2.5%
Telephone
Leger
November 30, 2017
PDF
32
19
36
11
2
4
1010
3.1%
Online
CROP
November 2017
HTML
35
17
35
10
2
0
1000
—
Online
Mainstreet
November 8, 2017
PDF
29
24
29
16
2
0
1500
2.5%
Telephone
Leger
October 25, 2017
PDF
29
20
34
12
5
5
1008
3.1%
Online
CROP
October 2017
HTML
42
13
31
11
2
11
1000
3%
Online
Ipsos
October 17, 2017
HTML
32
24
28
12
4
4
1659
3.3%
Online/Telephone
Mainstreet
October 11, 2017
PDF
29
26
26
16
2
3
1500
2.5%
Telephone
CROP
September 2017
PDF
33
22
29
13
2
4
1002
—
Online
Mainstreet
September 14, 2017
HTML
30
26
26
18
0*
4
1501
2.5%
Telephone
Leger
August 24, 2017
PDF
32
22
28
12
6
4
1003
3.1%
Online
Mainstreet
August 10, 2017
HTML
31
24
28
17
0*
3
1501
2.5%
Telephone
Mainstreet
July 15, 2017
HTML
33
21
28
19
0*
5
CROP
June 2017
PDF
38
21
25
13
3
13
Leger
June 21, 2017
PDF
31
22
28
15
4
3
Mainstreet
June 15, 2017
HTML
33
22
27
18
0*
6
Leger
June 15, 2017
PDF
30
22
28
13
7
2
CROP
May 2017
HTML
36
24
28
10
2
8
Leger
May 18, 2017
PDF
32
23
26
13
6
6
Mainstreet
May 12, 2017
HTML
31
24
32
14
0*
1
CROP
April 2017
HTML
37
24
26
9
4
11
Mainstreet
April 13, 2017
HTML
33
27
26
14
0*
6
Mainstreet
March 30, 2017
HTML
39
26
23
12
0*
13
Leger
March 16, 2017
PDF
34
25
22
14
5
9
Mainstreet
March 13, 2017
HTML
34
31
27
8
0*
3
Mainstreet
February 13, 2017
HTML
34
31
28
7
0*
3
Leger
January 19, 2017
PDF
32
29
23
9
7
3
Mainstreet
January 16, 2017
HTML
35
32
26
7
0*
3
CROP
January 16, 2017
PDF
35
27
25
11
2
8
Leger
December 15, 2016
PDF
30
30
26
10
4
0
CROP
December 12, 2016
PDF
38
25
23
9
5
13
CROP
November 21, 2016
PDF
36
24
26
11
3
10
Leger
November 10, 2016
PDF
31
30
25
10
4
1
CROP
October 17, 2016
PDF
37
30
22
9
2
7
Leger
September 29, 2016
PDF
35
29
23
10
4
6
CROP
September 19, 2016
PDF
37
27
26
9
1
10
Leger
September 1, 2016
PDF
34
29
23
10
4
5
CROP
August 15, 2016
HTML
35
25
25
12
4
10
CROP
June 19, 2016
HTML
34
25
24
14
3
9
Leger
June 8, 2016
PDF
32
30
24
10
4
2
CROP
May 23, 2016
PDF
34
26
27
11
3
7
Leger
May 5, 2016
PDF
35
30
21
10
4
5
CROP
April 18, 2016
HTML
33
26
25
14
3
7
Leger
March 22, 2016
PDF
33
30
22
10
6
3
CROP
March 21, 2016
HTML
32
30
24
11
3
2
CROP
February 15, 2016
PDF
36
31
18
12
3
5
Leger
February 4, 2016
PDF
36
29
21
10
5
7
CROP
January 18, 2016
PDF
35
27
19
16
3
8
CROP
December 14, 2015
PDF
37
30
17
13
3
7
Leger
November 19, 2015
PDF
35
32
20
10
2
3
CROP
November 18, 2015
PDF
36
35
16
12
2
1
CROP
October 18, 2015
PDF
36
33
16
12
3
3
CROP
September 20, 2015
PDF
37
30
18
13
2
7
CROP
August 17, 2015
PDF
33
29
23
13
2
4
CROP
June 16, 2015
HTML
34
34
17
13
2
0
Leger
June 11, 2015
PDF
36
32
20
10
2
4
CROP
May 20, 2015
HTML
29
33
20
15
3
4
Leger
May 17, 2015
PDF
32
34
20
10
3
2
CROP
April 20, 2015
PDF
34
27
25
12
2
7
Leger
April 9, 2015
PDF
37
28
21
10
4
9
CROP
March 15, 2015
HTML
29
27
26
16
2
2
CROP
February 15, 2015
HTML
37
26
22
11
3
11
Leger
February 5, 2015
PDF
37
25
25
9
4
12
CROP
January 19, 2015
PDF
35
26
23
13
4
9
CROP
December 15, 2014
HTML
35
28
27
10
1
7
Leger
December 11, 2014
PDF
34
26
26
11
3
8
CROP
November 17, 2014
HTML
36
23
24
14
3
12
Leger
November 13, 2014
PDF
36
26
26
10
2
10
CROP
October 20, 2014
PDF
40
25
23
12
0
15
Leger
September 25, 2014
PDF
38
21
28
10
3
10
CROP
September 22, 2014
PDF
35
21
30
13
1
5
Leger
August 25, 2014
PDF
41
22
23
10
4
18
CROP
August 18, 2014
PDF
41
18
27
12
2
14
Leger
June 18, 2014
PDF
40
20
27
9
4
13
CROP
June 16, 2014
PDF
39
19
29
10
3
10
Leger
June 5, 2014
PDF
39
20
29
9
3
10
CROP
May 19, 2014
PDF
41
22
24
10
3
17
Leger
May 8, 2014
PDF
40
19
27
11
3
13
CROP
April 21, 2014
PDF
40
22
23
11
3
17
2014 election
April 7, 2014
HTML
41.52
25.38
23.05
7.63
2.42
16.14
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