Global InformationNotional results of the 2019 United Kingdom general election by 2024 constituency information
These are the notional results of the 2019 United Kingdom general election if it had taken place under the new constituency borders used from the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, as calculated by Michael Thrasher and Colin Rallings. In constituencies whose borders have changed, precise results under the new boundaries usually cannot be known as election results are not usually reported for subdivisions of constituencies. However, it is possible to estimate what the election results would have been by extrapolating from local election results for which more granular data is known.[1][2]
Most news organizations including the BBC use these notional results for statistical purposes such as when calculating the swing from the 2019 general election to the 2024 general election by constituency.[3]
The "Change" column is an index used by Thrasher and Rallings to refer to how radically the borders of the constituency in question changed in the boundary review. "None" is no change in the borders (therefore the notional results are identical to the actual results), a small number denotes little change, and a larger number denotes more change.
- ^ Thrasher, Michael. "Boundary changes: How the electoral impact of the new political battlegrounds are calculated". Sky News. Retrieved 19 January 2024.
- ^ "Results spreadsheet (download)". BBC. Retrieved 19 January 2024.
- ^ Voce, Antonio. "UK general election: find your new constituency – and see how it would have voted in 2019". The Guardian.