List of predicted asteroid impacts on Earth information
This is a list of asteroids that have impacted Earth after discovery and orbit calculation that predicted the impact in advance. As of January 2024[update], all of the asteroids with predicted impacts were under 5 m (16 ft) in size that were discovered just hours before impact, and burned up in the atmosphere as meteors.
Asteroid designation
Date of impact
Location of impact
Method of detection
Estimated size
Reference
2008 TC3
October 7, 2008
Nubian Desert in Sudan
visual, weather satellite, meteorite recovery
4 m (13 ft)
[1]
2014 AA
January 2, 2014
Central Atlantic Ocean
infrasound
2–4 m (6.6–13.1 ft)
[2]
2018 LA
June 2, 2018
Botswana/South Africa border
visual, infrasound, meteorite recovery
2 m (6.6 ft)
[3][4][5]
2019 MO
June 22, 2019
Caribbean Sea near Puerto Rico
infrasound, weather satellite & radar
4 m (13 ft)
[6]
2022 EB5
March 11, 2022
Jan Mayen, northern Atlantic Ocean
visual, infrasound
2 m (6.6 ft)
[7][8]
2022 WJ1
November 19, 2022
Ontario, Canada
visual, radar
1 m (3.3 ft)
[9][10]
2023 CX1
February 13, 2023
Northwestern France
visual, meteorite recovery
1 m (3.3 ft)
[11][12]
2024 BX1
January 21, 2024
Berlin, Germany
visual, meteorite recovery
1 m (3.3 ft)
[13][14]
^Shaddad, Muawia H.; et al. (October 2010). "The recovery of asteroid 2008 TC3" (PDF). Meteoritics & Planetary Science. 45 (10–11): 1557–1589. Bibcode:2010M&PS...45.1557S. doi:10.1111/j.1945-5100.2010.01116.x. Archived (PDF) from the original on 2016-03-04. Retrieved 2024-01-27.
^Beatty, Kelly (January 2, 2014). "Small asteroid 2014 AA hits Earth". Sky & Telescope. Retrieved 2024-01-28.
^Malik, Tariq (June 4, 2018). "A Tiny Asteroid Just Hit Earth, Sparking a Fireball Over South Africa (Video)". Space.com. Retrieved 2024-01-28.
^Gulon, Tioga (July 3, 2018). "Asteroid 2018 LA hit the atmosphere over Botswana on June 2". News. International Meteor Organization. Retrieved 2024-02-18.
^King, Bob (July 6, 2018). "First Fragment Of Shattered Asteroid Recovered In Botswana". Duluth News Tribune. Retrieved 2024-02-18.
^Geggel, Laura (June 28, 2019). "Astronomers Spotted a Car-Size Asteroid Just Hours Before Impact". Space.com. Retrieved 2024-01-28.
^Baker, Harry (March 16, 2022). "Fridge-size asteroid detected just 2 hours before it slammed into Earth". Live Science. Retrieved 2024-01-28.
^Antier, Karl (March 13, 2022). "2022 EB5 : 5th predicted Earth impact!". News. International Meteor Organization. Retrieved 2024-01-28.
^"NASA Program Predicted Impact of Small Asteroid Over Ontario, Canada". NASA/JPL. November 22, 2022. Retrieved 2024-01-28.
^"Meteorite Falls: Grimsby, Ontario". NASA Johnson Space Center Astromaterials Research & Exploration Science. Retrieved 2024-02-18.
^"CNEOS Predicts Another Small Asteroid Impact, This One over Northwestern France". NASA/JPL CNEOS. February 14, 2023. Retrieved 2024-01-28.
^Green, Daniel W. E. (March 6, 2023). "CBET 5230 : 2023 CX_1". Central Bureau Electronic Telegrams. No. 5230. Retrieved 2024-02-18.
^Price, Kiley (January 23, 2024). "Scientists discover near-Earth asteroid hours before it exploded over Berlin". Space.com. Retrieved 2024-01-28.
^Rea, Robert (January 31, 2024). "Meteorites from Asteroid 2024 Bx1, which just hit Earth, may be super-rare space rocks". Space.com. Retrieved 2024-02-05.
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