Ecological forecasting uses knowledge of physics, ecology and physiology to predict how ecological populations, communities, or ecosystems will change in the future in response to environmental factors such as climate change. The goal of the approach is to provide natural resource managers with information to anticipate and respond to short and long-term climate conditions.[1]
Changing climate conditions present ecologists with the challenge to predict where, when and with what magnitude changes are likely to occur so that we can mitigate or at least prepare for them. Ecological forecasting applies existing knowledge of ecosystem interactions to predict how changes in environmental factors might result in changes to the ecosystems as a whole.
One of the most complete sources on the topic is the book Ecological Forecasting written by Michael C. Dietze.[2]
^Bradford, John B; Betancourt, Julio L; Butterfield, Bradley J; Munson, Seth M; Wood, Troy E (2018-03-10). "Anticipatory natural resource science and management for a changing future". Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment. 16 (5): 295–303. doi:10.1002/fee.1806. ISSN 1540-9295.
^Dietze, M.C. (2017). Ecological Forecasting. Princeton University Press. ISBN 9780691160573.
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