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Cherry picking information


Cherry-picking is often used in science denial such as climate change denial. For example, by deliberately cherry picking appropriate time periods, here 1998–2012, an artificial "pause" can be created, even when there is an ongoing warming trend.[1] The same problem could occur with the zoomed-out portion of the graph; if the data from before 1880 went in an unpredicted direction, that would cause another (unintentional) cherry picking fallacy. Furthermore, the temperature average was taken from 1951 to 1980, a relatively short span of time, so perhaps the true average temperature could be far different.

Cherry picking, suppressing evidence, or the fallacy of incomplete evidence is the act of pointing to individual cases or data that seem to confirm a particular position while ignoring a significant portion of related and similar cases or data that may contradict that position. Cherry picking may be committed intentionally or unintentionally.[2]

The term is based on the perceived process of harvesting fruit, such as cherries. The picker would be expected to select only the ripest and healthiest fruits. An observer who sees only the selected fruit may thus wrongly conclude that most, or even all, of the tree's fruit is in a likewise good condition. This can also give a false impression of the quality of the fruit (since it is only a sample and is not a representative sample). A concept sometimes confused with cherry picking is the idea of gathering only the fruit that is easy to harvest, while ignoring other fruit that is higher up on the tree and thus more difficult to obtain (see low-hanging fruit).

Cherry picking has a negative connotation as the practice neglects, overlooks or directly suppresses evidence that could lead to a complete picture.

Cherry picking can be found in many logical fallacies. For example, the "fallacy of anecdotal evidence" tends to overlook large amounts of data in favor of that known personally, "selective use of evidence" rejects material unfavorable to an argument, while a false dichotomy picks only two options when more are available. Some scholars classify cherry-picking as a fallacy of selective attention, the most common example of which is the confirmation bias.[3] Cherry picking can refer to the selection of data or data sets so a study or survey will give desired, predictable results which may be misleading or even completely contrary to reality.[4]

  1. ^ Sven Ove Hansson: Science denial as a form of pseudoscience. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science. 63, 2017, pp 39–47, doi:10.1016/j.shpsa.2017.05.002.
  2. ^ Klass, Gary. "Just Plain Data Analysis: Common Statistical Fallacies in Analyses of Social Indicator Data. Department of Politics and Government, Illinois State University" (PDF). statlit.org. ~2008. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 25, 2014. Retrieved March 25, 2014.
  3. ^ "Fallacies | Internet Encyclopedia of Philosophy".
  4. ^ Goldacre, Ben (2008). Bad Science. HarperCollins Publishers. pp. 97–99. ISBN 978-0-00-728319-4.

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Cherry picking, suppressing evidence, or the fallacy of incomplete evidence is the act of pointing to individual cases or data that seem to confirm a particular...

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The Cherry Pick

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The Cherry Pick or De Kersenpluk is a 1997 Dutch film directed by Arno Kranenborg. Annelieke Bouwers Lukas Dijkema ... Jan Tabak Hainie Hemme ... Buschauffeur...

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is nutpicking (or nut picking), a neologism coined by Kevin Drum. A combination of "nut" (i.e., insane person) and "cherry picking", as well as a play on...

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Basketball positions

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"stationary guard" who made long shots and hung back on defense effectively cherry picking before there was the rule of backcourt violations. The point guard (PG)...

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Cherry

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harvested by using a mechanized "shaker." Hand picking is also widely used for sweet as well as sour cherries to harvest the fruit to avoid damage to both...

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List of fallacies

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generalization true by changing the generalization to exclude a counterexample. Cherry picking (suppressed evidence, incomplete evidence, argument by half-truth, fallacy...

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Omegaball

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bounds, it results in a corner kick. There are no offside penalties (cherry picking is allowed). When a goal is scored, the game immediately resumes from...

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Pick and roll

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The pick and roll (also called a ball screen or screen and roll) in basketball is an offensive play in which a player sets a screen (pick) for a teammate...

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Ad hoc

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Heuristic House rule Russell's teapot Inductive reasoning Confirmation bias Cherry picking American Heritage Dictionary of Idioms, 2nd Edition Yateendra Joshi...

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Graham Hancock

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confirmation bias supporting preconceived conclusions by ignoring context, cherry picking, or misinterpreting evidence, and withholding critical countervailing...

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No true Scotsman

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Converse accident Faulty generalization Anecdotal evidence Sampling bias Cherry picking McNamara Base rate / Conjunction Double counting False analogy Slothful...

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Whataboutism

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conversation (cf. agenda setting, framing, framing effect, priming, cherry picking). The deviation from them can then be branded as whataboutism.[citation...

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in detail on what he characterized as frequent confirmation bias and cherry-picking of selected data, as well as the oversimplification of complex health...

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Fast break

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of providing action and quick scores. A fast break may result from cherry picking. In a typical fast-break situation, the defending team obtains the ball...

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Selection bias

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data inclusion based on arbitrary or subjective reasons, including: Cherry picking, which actually is not selection bias, but confirmation bias, when specific...

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False equivalence

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Converse accident Faulty generalization Anecdotal evidence Sampling bias Cherry picking McNamara Base rate / Conjunction Double counting False analogy Slothful...

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Survivorship bias

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Availability heuristic – Bias towards recently acquired information Cherry picking – Fallacy of incomplete evidence Fooled by Randomness – Book by Nassim...

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Post hoc ergo propter hoc

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Converse accident Faulty generalization Anecdotal evidence Sampling bias Cherry picking McNamara Base rate / Conjunction Double counting False analogy Slothful...

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Argument from fallacy

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Converse accident Faulty generalization Anecdotal evidence Sampling bias Cherry picking McNamara Base rate / Conjunction Double counting False analogy Slothful...

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